The upcoming Scottish National Party (SNP) conference in Aberdeen is set to be overshadowed by the presence of UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham, who is expected to visit Scotland on Friday. This visit coincides with the conference, where John Swinney, the SNP leader, will address members on Saturday afternoon to advocate for a second independence referendum.

Context

This year marks a notable change as Burnham, who took office in July, has largely avoided direct confrontations with political rivals. However, he has taken a different stance with the SNP, specifically targeting Swinney in his speeches. In his recent address at the Labour Party conference, Burnham referenced Swinney’s prediction that he would be the last prime minister of the UK, a statement made during a meeting of separatist parties from Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland.

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“I quote that not to seek sympathy... I relay it because I want you to know how it made me feel. Utterly determined to prove him wrong,” Burnham stated, holding back tears.

Developments

Burnham has ruled out a second independence referendum and stated that there is “no clear consensus” for another vote. Unlike previous prime ministers, he is actively making the case for the union on Scottish soil, presenting a new challenge for the SNP as they attempt to re-energize their campaign for independence. Swinney has expressed a desire for a new vote before 2031.

The SNP has grown accustomed to facing right-wing, pro-Brexit governments, which made it easier to argue that Scotland's interests were overlooked. However, Burnham's devolution agenda, his openness to exploring a return to the European Union, and initiatives like £2 bus fares complicate the SNP's narrative. Polling by PF Global indicates that 46% of Scots view Burnham favorably, a stark contrast to the Labour Party's overall popularity.